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  • Slight Advantage for PNP

    Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

    Slight Advantage for Ruling PNP in Jamaica

    August 15, 2007

    (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Jamaica’s governing People’s National Party (PNP) is holding on to the lead before this month’s legislative election, according to a poll by Market Research Services Ltd. published in the Jamaican Observer. 38.8 per cent of respondents would back the PNP in this month’s ballot.

    The opposition Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) is second with 35.3 per cent, and 25.9 per cent of respondents are either undecided or will not vote.
    In March 2006, Portia Simpson Miller took over as head of government. Fellow party member Percival J. Patterson had served as Jamaica’s prime minister since March 1992. In the October 2002 election, the PNP elected 34 legislators to the 60-member House of Representatives. The opposition JLP secured the remaining 26 seats.

    In February 2005, Bruce Golding took over as the JLP’s new leader. 41 per cent of respondents think Simpson Miller is best suited to be prime minister, while 38 per cent prefer Golding.

    On Jul. 25, Simpson Miller asked governor-general Kenneth Hall to dissolve parliament and called for a general election on Aug. 27.

    On Aug. 9, Simpson Miller unveiled the PNP’s election manifesto, declaring, "The party’s goal is for Jamaica to achieve developed country status, within this generation, so that our people will enjoy all the benefits of living in a quality society."

    Polling Data
    Which party would you vote for in the general election?

    People’s National Party (PNP)
    38.8%
    Jamaica Labour Party (JLP)
    35.3%
    Other / Undecided / Would not vote
    25.9%

    Which leader would do a better job as prime minister?

    Portia Simpson Miller (PNP)
    41%
    Bruce Golding (JLP)
    38%
    Other / Undecided
    21%

    Source: Market Research Services Ltd. / Jamaican Observer
    Methodology: Interviews with 1,096 registered Jamaican voters, conducted from Jul. 27 to Jul. 30, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
    Last edited by Karl; August 15, 2007, 05:05 PM.
    Winning means you're willing to go longer, work harder, and give more than anyone else - Vince Lombardi

  • #2
    margin of error..makes it virtually a dead heat...furthermore...has the pnp #s been going up or down since portia took over?

    Infidelity does not consist in believing, or in disbelieving; it consists in professing to believe what he does not believe. Thomas Paine

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Hortikal View Post
      Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

      Slight Advantage for Ruling PNP in Jamaica

      August 15, 2007

      (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Jamaica’s governing People’s National Party (PNP) is holding on to the lead before this month’s legislative election, according to a poll by Market Research Services Ltd. published in the Jamaican Observer. 38.8 per cent of respondents would back the PNP in this month’s ballot.
      The opposition Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) is second with 35.3 per cent, and 25.9 per cent of respondents are either undecided or will not vote.
      In March 2006, Portia Simpson Miller took over as head of government. Fellow party member Percival J. Patterson had served as Jamaica’s prime minister since March 1992. In the October 2002 election, the PNP elected 34 legislators to the 60-member House of Representatives. The opposition JLP secured the remaining 26 seats.
      In February 2005, Bruce Golding took over as the JLP’s new leader. 41 per cent of respondents think Simpson Miller is best suited to be prime minister, while 38 per cent prefer Golding.
      On Jul. 25, Simpson Miller asked governor-general Kenneth Hall to dissolve parliament and called for a general election on Aug. 27.
      On Aug. 9, Simpson Miller unveiled the PNP’s election manifesto, declaring, "The party’s goal is for Jamaica to achieve developed country status, within this generation, so that our people will enjoy all the benefits of living in a quality society."
      Polling Data
      Which party would you vote for in the general election?

      People’s National Party (PNP)
      38.8%
      Jamaica Labour Party (JLP)
      35.3%
      Other / Undecided / Would not vote
      25.9%
      Which leader would do a better job as prime minister?

      Portia Simpson Miller (PNP)
      41%
      Bruce Golding (JLP)
      38%
      Other / Undecided
      21%
      Source: Market Research Services Ltd. / Jamaican Observer
      Methodology: Interviews with 1,096 registered Jamaican voters, conducted from Jul. 27 to Jul. 30, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
      I wonder how many of the 'Undecided' where impacted by the recent debate beween Portia and Bruce...

      Is nuff 'undecided' out deh...

      Comment


      • #4
        I need to see a poll that tells me how many seats are going to each party. That's the only poll that matters.


        BLACK LIVES MATTER

        Comment


        • #5
          Good point. This popular vote thing is ridiculous. The PNP had popular vote when the JLP was in power and possible other way as well.
          Someone needs to break it down - constituency by constituency - that's how governmants are formed, how elections are won.

          Comment


          • #6
            true dat. excellent point.

            Infidelity does not consist in believing, or in disbelieving; it consists in professing to believe what he does not believe. Thomas Paine

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Gamma View Post
              true dat. excellent point.
              If Sickko is correct and the PNP has the West in the bag...it would be extremely difficult for the JLP to win...

              ...but, Sickko does not have a good record at picking winnahs! ...more like another journalist named Delaphena... You could put your money on the team opposing Lindy's pick.
              "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."

              Comment


              • #8
                That's not true!

                heard from a good source,Bruce is more popular than portia.55-45 % out of the popularity counts.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Gamma View Post
                  margin of error..makes it virtually a dead heat...furthermore...has the pnp #s been going up or down since portia took over?
                  margin of is 6.2 % for that Poll.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    The JamaicaObserver appears to be Pro PNP.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Pepsi View Post
                      The JamaicaObserver appears to be Pro PNP.
                      Why? The clownrades will tell you different. Afterall, they don't advertise with the Observer nor NNN.
                      "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Lazie, I work for the Jamaica Observer newspaper...none of the political parties have bought one square inch of advertisement in it.

                        Not the PNP not the JLP.

                        And yes the Jamaica Observer has openly supported the JLP even before the electioneering started.

                        For anyone to suggest that the Observer has not been VERY pro-JLP is to either be an idiot, disingenious or both.
                        Solidarity is not a matter of well wishing, but is sharing the very same fate whether in victory or in death.
                        Che Guevara.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Lazie nuh easy at all!


                          BLACK LIVES MATTER

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            I demand proof of my poor prediction record...have you ever seen my daCosta Cup pre-season previews for example?
                            Solidarity is not a matter of well wishing, but is sharing the very same fate whether in victory or in death.
                            Che Guevara.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Sickko View Post
                              Lazie, I work for the Jamaica Observer newspaper...none of the political parties have bought one square inch of advertisement in it.

                              Not the PNP not the JLP.

                              And yes the Jamaica Observer has openly supported the JLP even before the electioneering started.

                              For anyone to suggest that the Observer has not been VERY pro-JLP is to either be an idiot, disingenious or both.
                              Bossman, there was an editorial in the Jamaica Observer criticizing the PNP for not advertising with NNN and the Observer. Yuh need fi ask dem why dem never knock the JLP tuh.
                              "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

                              Comment

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